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The Bank of Japan's short-term survey may show that business confidence has hardly changed. It is reported that the short-term survey released by the Bank of Japan on Friday may show that the mood of large manufacturers has remained almost unchanged in the last quarter under the influence of complex signals such as the recovery of the automobile industry and concerns about the global economic slowdown. Economists surveyed by data provider Quick predict that the prosperity judgment index of large-scale manufacturing industry will be +12, compared with +13 in the last survey. The survey is closely watched for clues about the decision of the Bank of Japan at its meeting next week. If it shows strong capital expenditure plan, high inflation expectation and tight employment situation, it may support the idea of raising interest rates early.Black futures fell rapidly in the short term, with the main contracts of hot coil and coking coal falling by more than 1%, and the main contracts of coke, thread and iron ore falling by nearly 1%.On December 11th, it was reported that the U.S. government was divided over the U.S. steel acquisition, and Biden considered blocking the transaction. It was reported that the U.S. Department of Defense, the Ministry of Finance and the State Council all believed that the Japanese Steel Company's $15 billion acquisition of American steel companies would not bring national security risks, but U.S. President Biden was expected to block the transaction. Earlier, some media quoted people familiar with the matter as saying that Biden planned to block the acquisition of American steel companies later this month on the grounds of national security. The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States has been reviewing the proposed acquisition for most of this year, and the group must submit its decision to Biden before December 22 or 23.

Guan Qingyou: I am optimistic about the stock market by cutting interest rates and lowering the RRR. For example, Guan Qingyou, president and chief economist of the Financial Research Institute, said that lowering the RRR and raising interest rates will definitely happen, and from the downward trend of previous interest rates, it should be faster. Regarding the current market conditions, Guan Qingyou said that different subjects have different judgments on the market trend in one or two trading days, but he is still optimistic, and said that the positive impact of the current policy change on the capital market cannot be underestimated. Combining industrial structure and policy orientation, Guan Qingyou said that consumer companies, technology companies, and mergers and acquisitions involving the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries to emerging formats are all his optimistic directions. In addition, for the economic growth target in 2025, Guan Qingyou believes that "the target of 5% can still be contested". He also said that 2025 will be better than 2024. "In 2025, the adjustment of policies will bring more increments to the market and industry." (sohu finance)European Central Bank: It is estimated that the GDP growth rate will be 0.7% in 2024, 1.1% in 2025, 1.4% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027. (It is expected to be 0.8%, 1.3% and 1.5% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 2.9% in 2024, 2.3% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026. (It is expected to be 2.8%, 2.3% and 2.0% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 1.9% in 2027.The main fuel contract rose by 6.00% in the day and is now reported at 3249.00 yuan/ton.

The Nikkei 225 index closed up 1.21% at 39,849.14.Double 12 is in full swing, Pinduoduo's 10 billion subsidy is overweight "super double supplement", and Pinduoduo's 10 billion subsidy "super double supplement" is in full swing. Active goods are superimposed with double discounts on the daily price of 10 billion subsidies, and the highest discount can be further reduced by 50%. The price of Dyson hair dryer is only 1999 yuan; The price of Cobos T50 PRO sweeping robot is only 2599 yuan; The price of Li Ning Red Rabbit 7 running shoes is only 129 yuan, and the price has dropped by nearly 70%. In the last round of double replenishment activities, brands such as Li Ning, Lego, Fila and Fuji Camera all achieved excessive growth, and the average daily sales of Yili dairy products increased by 54 times from the previous month. "Super Double Supplement" is becoming a new engine for the growth of brands in the promotion of e-commerce.Reuters survey: Most economists believe that the tariff proposed by US President-elect Trump has little impact on the British economy; It is estimated that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025, and may cut interest rates by 25 basis points every quarter; A survey of 71 interviewed economists shows that the Bank of England's interest rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.75% on December 19th.